Saturday, March 28, 2009

Aware of the challenges

Written by John Lim   
Friday, 27 March 2009 15:58
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If you found out that your girlfriend is seeing someone else, you'll do everything to find out what she likes to win her heart back, right? That's what we're doing,” says Ng Yeen Seen, the director of media & communications of Sedar, Gerakan's independent political think tank.

It's a peculiar analogy Gerakan's plight, but it fits. Like other component parties of the Barisan Nasional (BN), Gerakan is undergoing a soul-searching time as it struggles to be relevant and attractive again after March 8. After being ousted from Penang together with MCA in favour of Pakatan Rakyat parties, Gerakan, one could say, is the unkempt and overweight ex-boyfriend that hasn't fully recovered from being dumped.

Our job is to make the party look slim and attractive again,” Ng says. Working together with Sedar's Executive Director, Khaw Veon Szu, she isn't expecting the easiest job in shaping up the party who lost all their contested seats in their Penang stronghold. Regaining relevancy is one big task, but where does one start when you don't even have a foothold?

Or, to put it in the context of Ng's analogy, how does one win the girl back when you lost her phone number?

Ng on her analogy

Repackaging Gerakan

(L-R): Sedar's director of media & communications Ng Yeen Seen and executive director Khaw Veon Szu

Started in 2001, the Socio-Economic Development and Research Institute (Sedar), is a think-tank for Parti Gerakan Malaysia, which was founded in 1968. The party is known for its middle-ground approach to politics, emphasising a commitment to stick to the Federal Constitution and the Rukun Negara.

In 2004's general election, Gerakan were riding on high, having won 10 out of 12 contested parliament seats and 30 out of 31 contested state seats. In Penang, they won three out of four parliament seats and all 13 state seats.

That all turned sour four years later when the nominally non-racial party failed to field a single non-Chinese candidate. Gerakan only managed to win four State seats, two in Kedah and one each in Pahang and Johor. On the parliamentary level, it only won two seats, one each in Perak and Johor.

The downfall started in 2004,” says Khaw, a lawyer by profession and who lost in his bid for the Tanjong Parliamentary seat. “Arrogance stepped in, which we failed to see and BN became increasingly detached from the people. It's difficult in hindsight to say that Gerakan was 'kicked-out'—the people in Penang wanted to teach BN, in particular, Umno a lesson. Because of that the component parties were punished too.”

Khaw on BN's problem of negative public perception


Khaw on the Opposition's campaign strategy

It has taken them almost a year before Sedar could restructure itself in preparing for a post-2008 era of Gerakan. Khaw has only stepped in last February, while Ng was an education councilor with Wawasan Open University prior to joining SEDAR in August last year. The eight-man strong think-tank now comprises of two main divisions that Khaw oversees: Communications & Media, and Public Policy research.

We needed some time to reorganise and restructure Sedar—it's been in the pipeline for much longer, but it was hard to find the right people with the right mindset and passion for the party,” says Ng.

Three Points

Considering that they are a year late, they're on a tight schedule if they want to achieve their goal. For now, says Khaw, they have a three-point plan in making Gerakan the attractive party it was: the message, the platform, and party members.

The coalition’s outdated message, he explains, is part of the reason why Gerakan fared badly in the last elections. “The younger generation doesn't want to hear about 'stability' and 'peace',” he says. “They are more ideological, and are attracted to more abstract concepts like civil liberties, human rights and freedom of speech.”

We're not saying that what they want isn't practical,” Ng says. “What we have to understand is that this new generation and the generation that experienced 1969 are totally different—and we can't approach these two groups in the same way. It's just not marketable,” she adds.

Khaw and Ng on what the new generation of voters want


The platform of public policies, strategies, speeches, and events is another part that needs to be revisited, but they emphasise that the party's ideologies of “placing nation before party and race” is still the focus.

The idea is the same,” says Khaw. For instance, Gerakan's Project Anak Malaysia, which aims to generate a proactive attitude, especially among the younger generation, to fight for citizen rights has been well-received. “That shows that the ideas still appeal to the younger generation. It's just a matter of how we spread that message.”

For the final point, things get a little vague. He says that a “radical change in mindset” must occur within the party, but how they intend to achieve that goal—without committing to change the party's leadership line-up—is something they haven't figured out yet.

The main task for us now is to keep the Gerakan's base in Penang intact by sticking to the three points  to stay relevant,” he says. “It's not that we can't do anything—through speeches, events, and programmes we can spread ideas that we believe can capture the people

Executive director Khaw Veon Szu

's imagination, and from then on let the people decide on which ideas are better. Essentially, our goal remains the same, it's just how we approach the people.”

Still Asleep”

For Sedar, that previous statement is easier said than done. It's not great to admit, but Gerakan is still perceived as an ineffective party that hasn't stood up enough to Umno. “We are aware of the negative perception, but not every party in the BN has woken up to that fact yet and time is running out,” Khaw says.

The inertia of such a long legacy is there, he admits, but regardless of what Umno does or doesn't do to reform itself, he is adamant that Gerakan must take steps to change. “To us, our immediate concern is to do something about the party so that we can still be relevant and be a constructive force, regardless of what Umno does.”

It can't be denied that Sedar's mission to turn Gerakan 180 degrees before the next General Election looks slimmer with each passing day. Khaw, however, places hope in the fluid nature of politics: “All political parties have to realise that they will lose power one day,” he says, adding that “change is the only constant.” A double-edged statement that questions BN's future, while offering hope that Gerakan might regain a foothold in their former Penang fortress.

"What may work for the Pakatan in the last election might not work the next time around,” Ng says. “We do see a light at the end of the tunnel, we do have hope. If not, we wouldn't be here.”

=========

Hope last GE going to be our last wake up call to gerakan leaders. HIDUP GERAKAN !

Monday, March 23, 2009

さようなら日本..selamat datang Malaysia


My last week here in nippon.no more research and gonna have to focus on my work and company. woa..bursa up 2.5%. so happy looking other people can make a lot money today. :) 
hope TMI will fly higher this week. amen
bw, fuyoh to parkson. im such a loser.. switched parkson to TMI few weeks ago. :p

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

温泉旅行。。。最高ぜ!!!!

 
Just returned from my onsen trip..saiko. :p

I'll post more pics later. 

woa TMI.

p/s=above not my pic

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Friday, March 13, 2009

Bloomberg with WB

Open for Business



Cash is King



Picking Up the Economic Pieces



Goldman and GE

Update



Nothing much to report .. my holding still in longkang. Pelikan looks very bearish . Still waiting for a coma state before any action. I like their business ^. According to sam, 2nd financial tsunami is on the way..so i've decided to stay sideline before upgrading my portfolio. The only good news for me is my business in Malaysia still doing ok. So long i still can generate money to survive, thats more than enough atm. :(

Anyway, Aminvestment offers my favourite investor's warrant..woa. Since i'm not so good with warrant, not going put any in this warrant. Burnt my money in 2007, thanks to Dr.Kim :p.


===========================


AmInvestment offers Berkshire zero strikes
Published: 2009/03/13



AMINVESTMENT Bank Bhd is launching up to RM100 million of zero strike warrants that will track the performance of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc in the US.

Priced at RM1 per unit, the underlying share of the zero strike warrants is the Class B shares of investment firm Berkshire Hathaway, which holds stakes in Coca-Cola, American Express and Wal-Mart, among others.

Unlike other call warrants, the strike is set at zero, hence the name, and it will always be "in the money" unless the underlying share price goes to zero, AmInvestment Bank head of equity derivatives Ng Ee Fang said.

At maturity, the zero strike pays the entire share price value of the underlying share after adjustment for currency and the exercise ratio.

The zero strike will be listed on Bursa Malaysia and can be traded like any stock or warrant.

It has a maturity of five years and is automatically converted upon maturity to pay out the performance of the B shares during the life of the zero strike.

One board lot is 100 shares, which means that the minimum investment is just RM100. This gives small investors a chance to invest in one of the most expensive stocks in the world.

Every Class A share of Berkshire Hathaway costs US$83,700 (RM308,853) at the last closing price, while Class B shares were last traded at US$2,740 (RM10,111) each.

"The zero strike also allows investors to participate in the consumer recovery story over a comfortable time frame of five years," Ng said.

Over the past year, Berkshire Hathaway's Class B share price has fallen to its record low, or more than three times as much as the decline in the company's book value in that period, she pointed out.

This allows investors to buy the Class B shares at among the cheapest price-to-book values on record.

The offer will end on April 10 and the zero strike warrants are scheduled to be listed on April 22.

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Spending may not affect Malaysia rating:S&P


Published: 2009/03/11

SINGAPORE: Standard & Poor’s said Malaysia’s latest economic stimulus package, worth RM60 billion (US$16.3 billion), may not affect the country’s sovereign rating despite a widening budget deficit. 

Malaysia yesterday unveiled the new spending plans, which will be put into action over two years, in an attempt to save jobs and prop up an economy teetering on the edge of recession. 

“They have some capacity to allow the budget to weaken in this downturn to an extent that would be consistent with the present rating,” David Beers, S&P’s global head for sovereign ratings, said in an interview today. 

“For most governments, the deficits are going to be wider this year but we are not downgrading everybody,” he said, adding that he was more concerned about a country’s ability or willingness to rein in spending once the economic crisis had passed. 

The new package, which comes on top of a RM7 billion plan announced in November, could widen Malaysia’s budget deficit to 7.6 per cent of gross domestic product from 4.8 per cent, analysts at OCBC in Singapore said. 

Beers also said he did not foresee India keeping its budget deficit in check due to a lack of political will. 

He said weakness in currencies such as the Korean won and British pound was positive because it cushioned the impact of the global economic downturn on those countries. 

Malaysia has an A-minus foreign currency rating from S&P with stable outlook, while India’s rating is BBB-minus with a negative outlook, which meant the rating agency could downgrade the country in coming months. - Reuters


TM soars with new stimulus package


Published: 2009/03/11

TM International Bhd climbed the most in a month after the government announced an additional RM3 billion spending (US$814 million) for investment in the industry. 

The shares rose 3.9 per cent to RM2.65 at 11.47am on the Malaysian stock exchange, set for their biggest gain since Feb 13. The stock jumped as much as 5.5 per cent earlier. 

Khazanah Nasional Bhd, the biggest shareholder of TM International, will invest the additional spending for the telecommunications sector this year, Finance Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak announced yesterday as part of the country’s RM60 billion second stimulus package to prevent a recession. 

Kuala Lumpur-based TM International would be one of the companies that will benefit from the new package, analysts Clare Chin and Chee Wei Loong at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets wrote in a report today. The brokerage has a “sell” recommendation on the stock.
 

TM International shares have slumped 17 per cent over the past month on the company’s plan to raise RM5.25 billion from a rights offer to repay debt. 

Khazanah, Malaysia’s state- owned investment company which owns 45 per cent of TM International, will take up its rights offer portion and subscribe to as much as 20 per cent more, the company has said. 

Najib said yesterday the RM3 billion allocation will also be spent on a national broadband project. Telekom Malaysia Bhd, the state-controlled fixed-phone operator, is leading the project that may cost RM11.3 billion over 10 years. The stock was unchanged at RM3.5. - Bloomberg 

=================

going into longkang again..sigh

Highlights of RM60b stimulus plan


Datuk Seri Najib just annouced our latest stimulus package. these are among my top favourites due to direct exposure to bursa malaysia. The rest i will leave it to economists since i'm not an economist.

# RM10 billion equity investments


# RM1.6 billion fund to promote investments

# To raise state investment firm Khazanah Nasional’s investment funds by RM10 billion

# To improve companies' cashflow, the government proposes that their current year losses be allowed to be carried back to the immediate preceding year. The total losses allowed to be carried back is RM100,000

# RM7 billion private finance initiative and off-budget projects.


Sunday, March 8, 2009

The Bailout Game


Interesting game.

http://www.thebailoutgame.us/

Trading Plan


..is not to trade :p. stuck with TMI and my fund now only for Pbbank and ytlpowerwb. theres no point catching a falling knife atm.

Take Some Control

by Jason Zweig
Friday, March 6, 2009

provided by
wsjlogo.gif

In normal times, the best advice after a market decline is "Don't be afraid." But these are not normal times, and anyone who is not afraid after a 50% market decline has a few screws loose. The trick is to channel your fear into sensible action that will improve your financial future.

Instead of big impulsive steps you may regret later, you should take small and careful steps that will make you feel you have taken charge. Mental-health experts have found that merely believing you have some control over a painful situation is enough to make the pain more bearable. At a time like this, taking a little bit of action can give you a lot of comfort -- both as an immediate salve for your market wounds today and as a portfolio strengthener in the years to come.

For investors, that means being deliberate in everything you do and making sure that all your decisions are gradual and incremental, rather than sudden and drastic. Call it "smart panic" -- calculated actions that free you from the chains of inertia without compelling you to go haywire.

Normally, inertia keeps investors locked into all their investments, good and bad. As Sir Isaac Newton might have put it, an investor at rest stays at rest, and an investor in motion stays in motion, unless acted upon by an outside force. Severe losses can shock any investor out of inertia, often in destructive ways.

Here is a list of constructive steps you can take instead:

Inventory all your assets. The stock market has lost half its value -- but chances are that when you properly measure the performance of all your investments, you will see that your portfolio as a whole is down considerably less. Use an Excel or Google spreadsheet, even just pencil and paper, to tally up all your cash, bonds, stocks, funds and other investments. Only by taking inventory of everything you own can you tell how well or poorly your wealth has held up. In the process, you will also see -- perhaps for the first time -- how well you are diversified. This advice may seem simplistic, but over the years I have met very prominent investors who actually have no idea what they own. If they could benefit from this step, so can you.


Get an upgrade. By erasing your capital gains, the bear market has taken away much of the tax liability that might have entrapped you in an overpriced mutual fund with an underperforming manager. Now you can ditch it and replace it with what you should have held all along: a low-cost index fund (or if you do not invest regularly each month, an exchange-traded fund). Steve Condon, investment director at Truepoint Inc., a wealth-advisory firm in Cincinnati, points out that this will not only lower your annual expenses and your tax bill, but is likely to raise your return when the stock market does recover. That's because the managers of active stock funds have raised their cash levels to an average of nearly 6% of assets, while index funds always keep all their assets in the market.

Change your new money, not your old money. In your 401(k), you could leave your existing positions in stock funds as they are. Bailing out completely is not the only option for reducing your exposure to stocks. You can take your new contributions from future paychecks and direct them into an investment-grade bond fund. You can always reverse this decision later; to make sure you remember, mark your calendar to review the choice one year from now.

Move your dividends. If you own a stock fund, you aren't obligated to reinvest your dividend distributions in more shares of the same fund. Instead, you can deposit them into a bond or money-market fund. That, says finance professor Meir Statman of Santa Clara University, may be less psychologically painful than having to dump the stock fund in its entirety. "You're turning the dividends into 'fresh money' that doesn't have the taint of loss," he says.

Move on tiptoe. If you can't take the pain of being in stocks anymore, then get out -- an inch at a time. Set up an automatic withdrawal plan with your mutual fund or brokerage account, selling a fixed dollar amount each month for, say, the next five years. Take comfort from the fact that you can stop it, decrease it or raise it at any time. Tiptoeing your way out is a move that's easy and cheap to change. Bailing out of the market in one fell swoop, however, is a step that's difficult and expensive to reverse. Besides the commissions you can face, there's a high psychological cost to the regret you may later incur from any impetuous action.

Sell stocks to erase debts. If you do move money out of the stock market, think first about what you should do with the proceeds. One of the smartest possible uses for the money: getting rid of your credit-card debt. With the interest rates on credit-card balances averaging 10% to 13%, this move gives you what New York City financial planner Gary Schatsky calls "an exceptionally high, guaranteed rate of return." According to the Federal Reserve Board, the median credit-card balance, among families that carry one, is $3,000. The median holding in stocks and mutual funds, on the other hand, was $73,000 in 2007. Let's assume that the value of those investments has since fallen by half, to $37,000. Then selling just 10% of their portfolio of stocks and funds would not only make many families feel better; it could get them out of credit-card debt. (With today's low mortgage rates, credit cards are the liability to attack first.)

Smarten up your cash. Designate the cash part of your portfolio as the "risk-free bucket." That way, you can know that at least one portion of your money will be absolutely safe. Allan Roth, a financial planner with WealthLogic LLC in Colorado Springs, Colo., points out that with inflation approaching zero, five-year certificates of deposits yielding up to 4.5% offer "a very high real return." (You can start your search for them at bankdeals.blogspot.com.) Make sure that the bank or credit union offering the CD is backed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. or the National Credit Union Administration; double-check at www.fdic.gov or www.ncua.gov. Many investors don't realize that the FDIC and NCUA will insure an IRA separately for up to $250,000 if it is invested in a deposit account like a CD. Putting a high-yielding CD in a retirement vehicle is tax-smart, to boot.


Thursday, March 5, 2009

The Richest And The Greenest Top 10

  • green-money

    • The London Times just released a list of the top 90 richest green investors in the world.  Here are the top 10 and what they invested in.  Click on the list to read about each investor individually.

    richest-green-investors

Rights issue


A rights issue is a way in which a company can sell new shares in order to raise capital. Shares are offered to existing shareholders in proportion to their current shareholding, respecting their pre-emption rights. The price at which the shares are offered is usually at a discount to the current share price, which gives investors an incentive to buy the new shares — if they do not, the value of their holding is diluted.

A rights issue by a highly geared company intended to strengthen its balance sheet is often a bad sign. Profits are already low (or negative) and future profits are diluted. Unless the underlying business is improved, changing itscapital structure achieves little.

Rights issues to fund expansion can be regarded somewhat more optimistically, although, as with acquisitions, shareholders should be suspicious because management may be empire-building at their expense (the usual agency problem with expansion).

The rights are normally a tradeable security themselves (a type of short dated warrant). This allows shareholders who do not wish to purchase new shares to sell the rights to someone who does. Whoever holds a right can choose to buy a new share (exercise the right) by a certain date at a set price.

Some shareholders may choose to buy all the rights they are offered in the rights issue. This maintains their proportionate ownership in the expanded company, so that an x% stake before the rights issue remains an x% stake after it. Others may choose to sell their rights, diluting their stake and reducing the value of their holding.

If rights are not taken up the company may (and in practice does) sell them on behalf of the rights holder.

It is possible to sell some rights and exercise the remainder. One possibility is selling enough rights to cover the cost of exercising those that are not sold. This allows a shareholder to maintain the value of a holding without further expense (apart from dealing costs).

As with a scrip issue, the price before the rights are issued needs to be adjusted for the rights issue. The calculation is a little more complicated as the new shares are paid for. Before comparison with share prices after the rights issue, prices before the shares went ex-rights need to be multiplied by:

((m ×y) + (n ×x) ) ÷(m ×(x + y))

where x is the number of new shares issued for every y existing shares
m is the closing price on the last day the shares traded cum-rights and
n is the price of the new shares

The same adjustment needs to be made to per share numbers such as EPSif they are to remain comparable, for example, when looking looking at growth trends. However, a large rights issue is often associated with other changes that will distort these numbers or change trends such as paying off debt, expansion, etc.

This calculation makes the assumption that all rights will be exercised. This is usually an acceptable assumption as rights issues are usually priced at a discount to the share price to ensure that they will be exercised.

In the interval between the shares going ex-rights and the rights being exercised, if the share price falls low enough for the rights to have significantoption value, then an adjustment may have to be made for this. This happens very rarely.


Amfirst

current price RM0.84
NAV Value RM0.99
div yield >8%

Maybe its time for me to buy amfirst for thier attractive dividend yield. Plus, theres no need to monitor much since always got coverage and news from ahbah in investlah.

Index signals China’s economy still steady

Sturdy domestic demand will see it through global downturn

MOST economic indicators are backward-looking or at best coincident in nature.

Why? Some are due to their inherent characteristics. For example, employment numbers are backward-looking because employees normally lose their jobs only after economic activity has slowed down for some time.

Conversely, employers normally do not start hiring until they are sure that recovery has come and there will be a sustained increase in demand for their products or services.

Most economic indicators are not forward-looking because of the time lag needed to collect and compile the data.

Therefore, they can only measure past economic performance and cannot tell much of what lies ahead. For example, industrial production data for January would only be released in mid-February at the latest.

Fortunately, there are indicators that are forward-looking and are vital in gauging economic activity in the months ahead.

These indicators become particularly important at a time when the economy is making a turning point.

The purchasing manager index (PMI) is one such indicator. PMI is an extremely useful indicator in gauging economic health because its results are based on surveys that cover every aspects of economic activity.

In addition, PMI is usually released within the first few days of the month, hence it provides the badly-needed, timely information.

China started constructing its own PMI for the manufacturing sector only in 2005. The PMI for the non-manufacturing sector came three years later.

The manufacturing PMI is certainly the more famous of the two PMIs and receives significantly wider coverage.

However, this week, i Capital will focus on the less-noticed non-manufacturing PMI.

Although manufacturing is still the largest sector in China’s economy, it is heavily exposed to conditions outside of China. This explains why China’s industrial production has been plunging along with the plunge in exports.

Now, China is counting on domestic demand to carry it through the greatest global economic crisis in many decades.

Since the services sector and China’s in particular, predominantly serves the domestic economy, it is a good indicator in assessing domestic economic conditions.

The non-manufacturing PMI is a leading indicator on China’s services sector, and hence the country’s domestic economic conditions.

China’s non-manufacturing PMI is modelled primarily after the non-manufacturing PMI of the United States, with some modifications to suit China’s economic conditions.

The index is made up of 10 components: business activity, new orders, new export orders, backlog of orders, inventories, prices paid for intermediate inputs, prices charged, employment, supplier deliveries, and expectation of business activity.

Unlike the US, China’s non-manufacturing index does not have an import component because most of China’s service enterprises do not have any import activity.

However, China’s non-manufacturing PMI has two components that are not found in its US counterpart, i.e. expectation of business activity and prices charged.

China’s non-manufacturing PMI is derived from questionnaires sent to a sample size of 1,191 enterprises. Respondents are asked if they are experiencing higher, lower, or no change in activity in each of the 10 components listed above.

Once the results are tallied, a diffusion index is employed to quantify each of the 10 categories listed.

There is no overall composite index; instead, it uses the business activity index as a measure of the rate and direction of change in the services sector. An index value over 50% indicates growth, while below 50% indicates contraction.

The chart shows China’s non-manufacturing PMI in the past five months. As in the manufacturing PMI, China’s non-manufacturing PMI also fell off the cliff in November 2008.

However, it has risen above the 50% threshold in January 2009, indicating an expanding service sector. More importantly, it signifies that China’s domestic demand is expanding.

The fact that the expansion occurs in the month of the Lunar New Year carries even greater significance because in the short history of China’s non-manufacturing PMI, it has always fallen below 50% in the month of the Lunar New Year.

i Capital believes that this encouraging performance provides further assurance that sturdy domestic demand will see China through the current global economic turmoil.

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Uncle L and Holland



I'm on my way to holland with TMI Airlines, anyone here same flight with me? damn..gonna put aside TMI for a while and start focusing on other stocks..seriously i dont think i'll ever buy again atm. My profit for last month easily wiped out with TMI. hmmm..i'm saving my other fund for public bank below RM7. Sure i don't have to worry much with PBBank.

If WB, GS , JR also cannot tahan..who am i to fight mr.market.So i guess i'm the new Uncle L. 

Looks like yen getting stronger again..not sure sustinabe or not but hope will be good news to me.

DJ closed 4.5% lower

Dow industrials fall below 7,000; lowest since '97
By TIM PARADIS – 1 hour ago

NEW YORK (AP) — Investors' despair about financial companies and the recession have brought the Dow Jones industrial average to another unwanted milestone: its first drop below 7,000 in more than 11 years.
The market's slide Monday wasn't anywhere near the largest is has seen since last fall, but the tumble below 7,000 was nonetheless painful. The credit crisis and recession have slashed more than half of the average's value since it hit a record high over 14,000 in October 2007. And now many investors fear the market could take a long time to regain the lost 7,000.
"As bad as things are, they can still get worse, and get a lot worse," said Bill Strazzullo, chief market strategist for Bell Curve Trading. Strazzullo said he believes there's a significant chance the S&P 500 and the Dow will fall back to their 1995 levels of 500 and 5,000, respectively.
The "game-changer," he said, will be the housing market and whether it can stabilize.
A recovery will also require signs of health among financial companies, but so far in 2009, it is clear that banks and insurance companies' losses are multiplying despite hundreds of billions of dollars in government help. The market fell Monday after insurer American International Group Inc. posted a staggering $61.7 billion in quarterly losses and as the government agreed to inject more money into the company. AIG will get another $30 billion in loans, on top of the $150 billion the government has already invested.
And it's not just U.S. companies that have Wall Street frightened. HSBC PLC, Europe's largest bank by market value, said Monday it needs to raise $17.7 billion. The company reported a 70 percent drop in 2008 earnings and said it would cut 6,100 jobs.
While the root of financial firms' problems lie with the bad bets they made on mortgages and mortgage-backed securities, now the recession is exacerbating their problems as it also forces millions of job cuts.
"The economy definitely has deteriorated since November," said Sean Simko, head of fixed income management at SEI Investments. "It's just the fact that we haven't seen signs of improving or stabilizing, per se, which is adding to the morass of the market."
In late afternoon trading, the Dow fell 298.20, or 3 percent, to 6,764.73. The Dow last closed below the 7,000 level on May 1, 1997.
The Dow's descent has been swift. It's taken only 14 sessions for the average to go from above 8,000 to below 7,000. So far this year, the Dow is down 22.5 percent.
Broader stock indicators also slid. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 34.15, or 4.7 percent, to 700.94, and the Nasdaq composite index fell 50.93, or 3.7 percent, to 1,326.91.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 19.37, or 5 percent, to 369.65.
About 10 stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to a heavy 1.57 billion shares.
Bond prices jumped as stocks fell. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, tumbled to 2.91 percent from 3.02 percent late Friday. The yield on the three-month T-bill, considered one of the safest investments, slipped to 0.24 percent from 0.25 percent Friday.
The economic readings have been mostly grim, adding momentum to the market's slide. Even when they show some room for optimism many investors have been quick to write them off as aberrations. On Monday, the governent said personal spending incomes rose more than expected in January and that construction spending fell twice as much as forecast. A trade group said manufacturing contracted in February for the 13th straight month, but at a slower pace than expected.
More, and possibly unnerving, economic data are expected later in the week, including the government's report on unemployment and job losses during February.
"I don't think we find a bottom in the market until we see some sort of increased level of optimism and confidence among consumers and investors," said Jim Baird, chief investment strategist at Plante Moran Financial Advisors.
For investors, that will take several months of economic and corporate reports that point to signs of a turnaround in housing and job losses and signs that the economy is at least leveling off. Analysts are looking for indications that businesses and consumers are starting to boost spending after months of cutting back.
But the economic readings, and the news coming out of financial companies, are still so alarming that investors feel no alternative but to sell.
"I don't think we find a bottom in the market until we see some sort of increased level of optimism and confidence among consumers and investors," said Baird.
And even when the market finally reaches a bottom, it faces a long, long recovery.
"We do feel that things can improve but it is going to be years before we get back to levels we saw in the markets a year ago," said David Chalupnik, head of equities at First American Funds.
Last week the Dow and the S&P 500 index fell below their Nov. 20-21 lows, reached at the height of the credit crisis. Many traders had hoped would mark the market's low.
Even big name investors are cautious. Billionaire investor Warren Buffett wrote in his annual letter to investors Saturday he is sure "the economy will be in shambles throughout 2009 — and, for that matter, probably well beyond — but that conclusion does not tell us whether the stock market will rise or fall."
Many market analysts look to Wall Street's performance in past bear periods to try to determine when stocks will hit bottom. In the last 60 years, the S&P 500 index bottomed about five months before a recession ended and nine months before corporate profits reached their low or unemployment hit its peak.
The market could recover before the economy starts picking up steam but investors will need some sense that the worst is over — and that was hard to come by Monday.

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Monday, March 2, 2009

Update


 Sold Parkson 3.32. Bought TMI 2.76..donno.hmm.........

update...hit new low.gone case. dont want to focus on this stock anymore. should've focused onmy beloved ytl power... :(

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TMI slides ahead of rights pricing

Published: 2009/03/02
 

SHARES of mobile telephone company TM International dropped as much as 9.27 per cent today as the company is expected to finalise the pricing of a rights offering in the next two weeks, dealers said.

The wider Bursa Malaysia main index fell 1.76 per cent by 11:51am while TM International was down 8.61 per cent at RM2.76.

TM International announced last week it 

But the company has not yet decided on the basis of the rights issue and issue price for the rights shares.

“In the next two weeks the company will be pricing the rights based on a discount to the prevailing 5-day volume weighted average price,” said a dealer from a local brokerage.

Another dealer said investors were also concerned about the potential dilution from the rights offering.

“There are concerns that the rights issue may not be enough to resolve the company’s medium-term funding issue. And the market is still waiting for details on the rights offering, there are worries that the potential dilution could extend to 2010,” the second dealer said. - REUTERS